01Spike
The volume spike playbook
Turnover against depth is the only spike measure that survives review. How to classify a spike, what each class implies mechanically, and the rule for each one.
Read the entryPlaybooks: rules written before the situation arrives
A playbook is a situation you already recognised, plus a rule you wrote down while you were still neutral about it. The order matters. A rule invented during a trade is a justification, and justifications cannot be reviewed later because they were never falsifiable in the first place.
Each playbook here states its trigger in terms another person could apply identically, names what following it costs, describes the case where it fails, and gives the condition that retires it. Nothing in this section claims that a playbook makes money, because no honest publication can.
- Format
- Trigger, action, cost, failure case, retirement condition
- Test
- Could a second reader apply this rule and reach the same decision
- Excludes
- Backtests, win rates, profit figures and any claim about outcomes
- Review
- Every playbook assumes you are journalling, or it cannot be checked
3 entries in this section
A playbook is a situation plus a rule you wrote before the situation appeared. Each one here states its trigger, its cost, the case where it fails and the condition that retires it.
02Entry
Entry rules that survive review
Most entry rules are unreviewable because they never specify what would have stopped them. A template for writing rules you can audit later, with the failure case attached.
Read the entry03Journal
Building a trade journal
A journal schema with the fields that make a review possible, a weekly cadence, and the honest limit of what any sample of memecoin trades can tell you.
Read the entryA playbook is only half of a method
A trigger without a size limit and an exit is an opinion with a timestamp. The risk section holds the other half, and the situation notes hold the observations that the triggers are built from.
Situations
The recurring shapes a Solana market takes when liquidity arrives, moves or leaves: a first listing, a migration between venues, an activity spike, and the ordinary hours in between.
Risk rules
The part of a method you actually control. Size chosen from depth rather than conviction, exits decided before entry, and an invalidation written in advance so a bad trade ends on schedule.